CMC Markets专栏: 十三五计划刺激牛市再来

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

与美、欧股市呈明显对照行情，昨日中国股市大涨，创自8月份以来的新高。主要受各方面的利好消息刺激，一方面是中国央行行长周小川称“深港通将与年内开通”，加之十三五计划的出台使得市场信心激增，中国股市又迎来久未见的牛市到来，昨日中国沪指大涨4.31%，其中金融股领涨。
伴随内陆牛市，香港恒生指数，香港中国H股，中国A股50远期也在出现大幅上行。盘面上中国各股仍有较大的上行空间，香港恒生指数有望上行挑战24300点；香港中国H股将可能有望上行至11500点；中国A股50已经涨过历史高位，有望继续上行挑战10800点。

技术图形

由于美联储耶伦昨日在其证词中表示美国经济良好的复苏态势使得12月份加息有更确定的可能性，美股与欧股市场受其影响而下行，这与中国股市的大涨形成了鲜明的反差。而从整体经济形势上看，中国的宽松是经济转型期的宽松，是进一步扩大经济市场化的标志性举措。央行在10月份再次实行降息、将准的措施后，意味着释放出7千亿到8千亿人民币的资金流动量。虽然市场高呼“中国经济增长下行风险”与“潜在债务危机”等种种风险预警，但中国强大的经济基地是不可忽视的。当经济增长模式逐步转向“消费引导型”后，将有可能带来新的消费增长模式，而金融业与服务业将有可能成为未来主要的支撑板块。

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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。